Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.571745 4.938800 5.335065 5.797073 6.324034 6.910097 7.616469
2025-05-25 3.886570 4.372818 4.933016 5.635116 6.504753 7.565144 8.986558
2025-06-01 3.479604 4.018010 4.665163 5.517110 6.636193 8.098447 10.232902
2025-06-08 3.240764 3.820339 4.541220 5.529834 6.895878 8.795399 11.802101
2025-06-15 3.085336 3.702771 4.494121 5.620055 7.250742 9.658711 13.798279
2025-06-22 2.849396 3.458144 4.253298 5.411826 7.142734 9.805855 14.662698
2025-06-29 2.671329 3.274897 4.076958 5.271368 7.108741 10.049680 15.739656
2025-07-06 2.524094 3.122032 3.928828 5.154142 7.090119 10.306005 16.896536
2025-07-13 2.426170 3.029279 3.856382 5.139479 7.227172 10.843063 18.770587
2025-07-20 2.368789 2.988111 3.852723 5.226078 7.536412 11.738160 21.744350
2025-07-27 2.330618 2.970720 3.880787 5.362271 7.944352 12.898592 25.885177
2025-08-03 2.269416 2.916377 3.849507 5.398649 8.177810 13.755909 29.683584
2025-08-10 2.189695 2.835379 3.779297 5.375816 8.321058 14.503122 33.814609
2025-08-17 2.083087 2.710728 3.636403 5.221492 8.200994 14.650463 36.147665
2025-08-24 1.996481 2.611564 3.527191 5.115741 8.162548 14.984152 39.476896
2025-08-31 1.943019 2.559117 3.487621 5.126995 8.358563 15.942190 46.330005
2025-09-07 1.908296 2.532907 3.487496 5.207208 8.707528 17.402261 57.627579
2025-09-14 1.821460 2.423370 3.347216 5.021941 8.465094 17.175175 59.495706
2025-09-21 1.752220 2.338417 3.243179 4.896723 8.341586 17.270632 63.702091
2025-09-28 1.691412 2.264274 3.153462 4.792060 8.252424 17.451938 68.962288
2025-10-05 1.651984 2.221861 3.114011 4.778958 8.369231 18.302161 81.245576
2025-10-12 1.631722 2.208490 3.121937 4.856303 8.706373 19.982871 106.891177
2025-10-19 1.620148 2.208178 3.151523 4.977785 9.169103 22.308835 155.016297